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Oil Market Snapshot

Brent has stabilised at below $50/bbl for more than a week now after losing 60% since its June 2014 peak of $115.19/bbl. The price slide continued throughout December with the market remaining oversupplied in Q4 2014. The market reaction to OPEC’s decision to maintain production has been a price drop of a magnitude that had not been envisaged by most traders.

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Oil Market Snapshot

We have revised our forecasts for yearly average Brent downwards to $99.33/bbl (from $101.13/bbl) and $67.84/bbl (from $81.78/bbl) for 2014 and 2015 respectively; but our preliminary price projection for 2016 is at $85.18/bbl. We expect widespread cuts in E&P investments, with US LTO being the most exposed while oil sands and ultra-deepwater likely to continue due to their longer investment cycles. US LTO rig count has fallen by 39 units within two weeks in a swift reaction to price fall, further reductions are likely.

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LNG Market Snapshot

9 additions pushed the global LNGC fleet to 384 vessels. Meanwhile the order book expanded to 124 units. Spot charter rates have not cracked $75,000/day in almost a year amid vessel oversupply - vessel efficiency is key. The Atlantic Basin commands more of ship owners' attention but the Pacific is likely to remain the main LNG theatre until 2020.

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Petrologica: Energy Research and Simulation

Petrologica flies you fast forward to the future with a world of interactive and dynamic simulation tools.

We build simulators, models and scenario tools for market planners, management and investors to assist organisations in understanding the nature of tomorrow's energy markets.  We undertake private research on clients' request, enabling us to meet individual client requirements.


                      Assess the sensitivities of key market factors as they diverge from their assumed positions through our simulation tools.
                      Gain access to a substantial and meticulously maintained database covering oil and gas fields, drilling rigs and energy production around the globe.
                      Place your organisation in a unique position to understand and plan for what is to come.
                      Benefit from bespoke reports and forecasts to meet your specific needs.
                      Enjoy access to Petrologica’s tools and analyses on an iPad or Android tablet.



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