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Oil Market Snapshot - April 2015

Brent rallied to $63.98 on 29th April on signs that US LTO production is slowing and the OECD demand is recovering more quickly; We forecast a Brent average of $57.56/bbl for 2015 (-$1.90 compared to March), while 2016 is cut to $75.05/bbl (-$0.30) on continued OPEC production this year.

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LNG Market Snapshot - April 2015

The global active LNGC fleet grew to 401 vessels, up by two m-o-m; 32 more vessels scheduled for delivery in 2015; General vessel oversupply maintains pressure on spot charter rates ($24- 30,000/day, down by up to 14% m-o-m).

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LNG Market Snapshot

The global LNGC fleet and order book now stand at 399 and 144 vessels, respectively. The order book to fleet ratio thus edged up by 3 percentage points to 36% compared to January 2015. The majority of the current order book remains based on firm charters, with 67 vessels (47%) likely to operate on routes between Australia, Malaysia and Indonesia, and JKT buyers. The number of speculative orders now stands at 37 vessels (26%) whilst our estimate of the number of options placed is 23 (16%) of the order book. Only 16 vessels (11%) appear to be earmarked for the Atlantic Basin. Current market visibility suggests that JKT buyers are not yet planning to acquire spot cargoes of LNG.

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Petrologica: Energy Research and Simulation

Petrologica flies you fast forward to the future with a world of interactive and dynamic simulation tools.

We build simulators, models and scenario tools for market planners, management and investors to assist organisations in understanding the nature of tomorrow's energy markets.  We undertake private research on clients' request, enabling us to meet individual client requirements.

 

                      Assess the sensitivities of key market factors as they diverge from their assumed positions through our simulation tools.
                         
                      Gain access to a substantial and meticulously maintained database covering oil and gas fields, drilling rigs and energy production around the globe.
                         
                      Place your organisation in a unique position to understand and plan for what is to come.
                         
                      Benefit from bespoke reports and forecasts to meet your specific needs.
                         
                      Enjoy access to Petrologica’s tools and analyses on an iPad or Android tablet.
   

 

 

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